Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003358 0.003748 0.004154 0.004608 0.005100 0.005617 0.006201
2024-10-20 0.002667 0.003202 0.003792 0.004487 0.005279 0.006151 0.007180
2024-10-27 0.002288 0.002901 0.003603 0.004462 0.005476 0.006629 0.008029
2024-11-03 0.001983 0.002637 0.003413 0.004393 0.005584 0.006974 0.008705
2024-11-10 0.001767 0.002452 0.003292 0.004380 0.005738 0.007357 0.009416
2024-11-17 0.001576 0.002277 0.003162 0.004339 0.005841 0.007668 0.010034
2024-11-24 0.001474 0.002205 0.003152 0.004440 0.006115 0.008188 0.010911
2024-12-01 0.001304 0.002028 0.002991 0.004330 0.006109 0.008349 0.011339
2024-12-08 0.001193 0.001921 0.002913 0.004323 0.006229 0.008666 0.011963
2024-12-15 0.001152 0.001909 0.002962 0.004483 0.006570 0.009271 0.012965
2024-12-22 0.001083 0.001850 0.002940 0.004543 0.006775 0.009701 0.013746
2024-12-29 0.001041 0.001828 0.002967 0.004670 0.007071 0.010253 0.014696
2025-01-05 0.001005 0.001813 0.003007 0.004818 0.007406 0.010874 0.015759
2025-01-12 0.000895 0.001677 0.002859 0.004690 0.007351 0.010966 0.016120
2025-01-19 0.000823 0.001594 0.002786 0.004665 0.007436 0.011247 0.016735
2025-01-26 0.000747 0.001497 0.002686 0.004593 0.007449 0.011425 0.017211
2025-02-02 0.000691 0.001430 0.002627 0.004580 0.007544 0.011716 0.017845
2025-02-09 0.000634 0.001356 0.002552 0.004537 0.007592 0.011939 0.018384
2025-02-16 0.000611 0.001342 0.002572 0.004642 0.007861 0.012480 0.019377
2025-02-23 0.000548 0.001249 0.002458 0.004528 0.007795 0.012538 0.019687
2025-03-02 0.000510 0.001199 0.002411 0.004521 0.007890 0.012826 0.020327
2025-03-09 0.000504 0.001210 0.002471 0.004687 0.008254 0.013515 0.021551
2025-03-16 0.000481 0.001186 0.002468 0.004749 0.008458 0.013970 0.022444